FNUS75 KRIW 161954 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR CATHEDRAL GROUP...NPS GTP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 154 PM MDT FRI JUL 16 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1315 MDT ON JULY 16. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WARMER THAN NORMAL DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND SATURDAY WITH LARGE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS IN CONTROL. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS YELLOWSTONE PARK SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE STALLING ACROSS THE FIRE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF WETTING RAINFALL ACROSS THE FIRE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...LIPSON .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-10 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86. MIN HUMIDITY........18-20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. LAL.................1. CWR.................ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9500-10500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (174600 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34. MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH EXCEPT SOUTH SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH BETWEEN 2230 AND 0130. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. LAL.................1. CWR.................ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2700-3300 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (140300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR (49400 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86. MIN HUMIDITY........18-20 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CWR.................3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300-11300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (79600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (176000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...LIPSON REQUESTED BY...RON STEFFFENS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100716.CATHE.01/RIW