FNAK79 PAFG 181313
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
513 AM AKDT SUN JUL 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1835 AKDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DAMP AND UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
AS AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FIRE. A FAST
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO SEND DISTURBANCES AND MOISTURE
TOWARD THE FIRE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  THIS WILL LEAD TO SHOWERS AT
-TIMES ALONG WITH FAIRLY HIGH DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. THERE IS
A GOOD CHANCE OF GETTING ONE OR TWO WETTING RAINS THIS EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG THROUGH MID-MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    AFTER NOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 2 TO 5 MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100717.501PA.01/AFG