FNAK79 PAFG 181318
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 596 TCHULKADE LAKE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
518 AM AKDT SUN JUL 18 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1933 AKDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE AT THE FIRE INTO MONDAY. THE BEST
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN JUST WEST OF THE FIRE...BUT A FEW SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. THERE MAYBE JUST ENOUGH INSTABILITY
THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. THE WEATHER
PATTERN REMAINS UNSETTLED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A CONTINUED CHANCE
OF SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH BY NOON.
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH DIMINISHING TO
                    3 TO 6 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...HUD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100717.596TC.01/AFG