FNUS75 KGJT 171725
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TWIN BUTES FIRE...GRAND JUNCTION DSP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1125 AM MDT SAT JUL 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1108 MDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER LIE TO OUR
WEST...ENHANCED BY A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM. THIS AREA OF INSTABILITY
SHOULD ROTATE OVER OUR REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
LEADING TO ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LITTLE OR NO
RAIN. BASED ON THE LOCATION OF THE FIRE I EXPECT THERE SHOULD BE
A GOOD THERMAL BELT OVER THE FIRE TONIGHT...RESULTING IN POOR
HUMIDITY RECOVERY. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH ISOLATED
DRY HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED DRY
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-94 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-12%.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. VARIABLE AND GUSTY
                    OUTFLOW WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS TO 45 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................3 AFTER 1300.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-63 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH AFTER 2100. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................3 AFTER 1200.




$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100717.TWINB.01/GJT