FNUS73 KGRR 171235
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WINSTON ROAD BLACKLINING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
835 AM EDT SAT JUL 17 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 EDT ON JULY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A GOOD DEAL OF SUNSHINE WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY AS WE REMAIN IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM
AND A DECENT AMOUNT OF HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN IN PLACE. THERE IS A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY AS A WEAK WAVE MOVES THROUGH.
A MUCH BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE IN VERY LATE TONIGHT
AND INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AT THE SITE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
                    TEMPERATURE.........85 AT IGNITION...MAX 89.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 9 TO 14 MPH. A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST/NORTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX 7100-7600 FT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100 (EXCELLENT) AT IGNITION...THEN MAX 1300-1500
                    (EXCELLENT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING SOUTH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1000 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO 100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 500-600
                    (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) LATE IN THE DAY.

$$
FORECASTER...JERUZAL
REQUESTED BY...BOB LITTLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100717.WINST.01/GRR