FNUS74 KLIX 171623 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1123 AM CDT SAT JUL 17 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1100 CDT...1021MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST AREA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS ALONG 93W. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1100 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...102F HOUMA /HUM/... MM GULFPORT /GPT/...100F SLIDELL /ASD/... 98F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 99F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 95F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 16Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...SE 9KT 250FT...SE 9KT 500FT...SE 9KT 1KFT...SE 9KT 2KFT...SE 15KT 3KFT...SE 16KT 4KFT...SE 12KT 5KFT...SE 12KT MAX WIND...135/17KT 2.5FT. STORM MOTION...153/8KT 17/06Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/18/10 SFC...SE 09KT 250FT...SE 09KT 500FT...SE 10KT 1KFT...SE 10KT 2KFT...SE 11KT 3KFT...SE 9KT 4KFT...SSE 08KT 5KFT...S 07KT MAX WIND...053/14KT 32.3KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171551Z AUTO 17010KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP183 T03110244 TSNO METAR KGAO 171600Z AUTO 14007KT CLR 31/26 A3007 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT NW METAR KHSA 171555Z 17005KT 10SM SCT040 29/24 A3006 METAR KIPN 171615Z AUTO 14014KT 10SM CLR 57/52 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 171615Z AUTO 14009KT 10SM CLR 32/24 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 171615Z AUTO 16011KT 9SM FEW060 SCT075 BKN085 28/25 A3008 RMK METAR KDLP 171615Z AUTO 15015G21KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A3006 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025 BKN035 SCT VRB15G25KT 2SM SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 350. MARINE AREAS...EAST OF 90W...VFR SCT020 SCT040 ISOLD 3SM SHRA/TSRA BKN025 WITH TOPS TO 300. WEST OF 90W...MVFR BKN025 BKN035 NMRS 5SM SHRA/SCT VRB20G30KT 2SM SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 400. KHUM 171122Z 1712/1812 VRB03KT P6SM SCT250 FM171500 16007KT P6SM BKN030 TEMPO 1716/1720 5SM -TSRA OVC025CB FM172000 17009KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB BKN080 FM180100 17005KT P6SM BKN050 KHSA 171122Z 1712/1812 VRB04KT P6SM SCT030 SCT150 BKN250 FM171500 18005KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 BKN250 TEMPO 1717/1721 5SM -TSRA BKN030CB BKN080 FM172100 16004KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 OVC250 FM180000 16005KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR FEW020 SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE TO S WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 BKN050. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E TO SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED NEAR THE SITE LAST HOUR HAVE MOVED NORTHWEST AT 15 KNOTS AND THE CLOSEST ACTIVITY WAS NOW 12 MILES TO THE NORTHWEST. THERE IS ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OR MOVING INTO THE AREA THE NEXT FEW HOURS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.10 FT AT 1100 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.78 FT AT 1430 CDT. WYCM6 1.34 FT AT 1100 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.00 FT 1800 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........63 63 45 45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 86 87 87 87 87 86 RH..............72 72 70 70 70 70 72 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 96 98 98 98 98 96 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S 20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 9 9 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 3.9 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 17 17 17 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 8 8 8 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 60 60 60 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 45 56 56 62 64 WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............85 83 81 80 80 80 RH..............75 80 85 88 88 88 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 91 87 86 86 86 20 FT WIND......S 9 S 8 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....4200 3800 4300 4300 3800 3600 MIX HGT (M).....1280 1160 1310 1310 1160 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 S 10 S 10 S 10 S 9 S 10 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........64 65 61 61 60 53 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 87 88 89 89 RH..............88 82 70 68 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..86 89 98 99 100 100 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3900 4400 4400 4000 3400 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1190 1340 1340 1220 1040 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 10 S 10 S 10 SE 12 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 SE 5 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 60 60 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...DESTRI REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100717.DEEPW.07/LIX