FNUS74 KLIX 171914 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 214 PM CDT SAT JUL 17 2010 .SYNOPSIS... AT 1400 CDT...1020MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST AREA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS ALONG 93.5W. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1400 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...100F HOUMA /HUM/... MM GULFPORT /GPT/...103F SLIDELL /ASD/...101F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 97F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 93F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 18Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...S 10KT 250FT...SE 10KT 500FT...SE 11KT 1KFT...SE 12KT 2KFT...SE 15KT 3KFT...SE 14KT 4KFT...SE 10KT 5KFT...SE 10KT MAX WIND...130/15KT 2.3FT. STORM MOTION...149/8KT 17/06Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/18/10 SFC...SE 09KT 250FT...SE 09KT 500FT...SE 10KT 1KFT...SE 10KT 2KFT...SE 11KT 3KFT...SE 9KT 4KFT...SSE 08KT 5KFT...S 07KT MAX WIND...053/14KT 32.3KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171851Z AUTO 20009KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP176 T03060239 TSNO METAR KGAO 171900Z AUTO 14011KT CLR 32/24 A3003 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W AND METAR KHSA 171555Z 17005KT 10SM SCT040 29/24 A3006 METAR KIPN 171855Z AUTO 14012KT 10SM CLR A3005 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 171855Z AUTO 19006KT 10SM 28/23 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 171855Z AUTO 18016KT 5SM HZ FEW021 SCT032 BKN070 27/23 METAR KDLP 171855Z AUTO 18008KT 10SM CLR 30/23 A3004 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025 SCT035 ISOLD 5SM SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 300. MARINE AREAS...EAST OF 90W...VFR SCT020 SCT040 ISOLD 3SM SHRA/TSRA BKN030 WITH TOPS TO 300. WEST OF 90W...VFR SCT025 BKN035 SCT 3SM SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 350. KHUM 171722Z 1718/1818 16007KT P6SM BKN030 TEMPO 1718/1720 5SM -TSRA OVC025CB FM172000 17009KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB BKN080 FM180100 17005KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 171722Z 1718/1818 18005KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 BKN250 TEMPO 1718/1721 5SM -TSRA BKN030CB BKN080 FM172100 16004KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 OVC250 FM180000 16005KT P6SM BKN250 FM181200 16007KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR FEW020 SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE TO S WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 SCT-BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E TO SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1300 CDT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPILL SITE AND OVER A LARGE AREA TO THE WEST. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AND NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. NO LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED...HOWEVER...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO WATER STRIKES MAY DEVELOP IN THE NEXT HOUR. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.87 FT AT 1350 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.85 FT AT 1430 CDT. WYCM6 1.18 FT AT 1350 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 1.08 FT 1800 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 87 87 86 RH..............65 65 65 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 95 94 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 4.3 4.0 4.0 MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 45 56 56 62 64 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 83 81 81 81 81 RH..............69 74 79 79 79 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 90 86 86 86 87 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 SE 6 SE 7 SE 6 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 3900 3700 3700 4100 3900 MIX HGT (M).....1220 1190 1130 1130 1250 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 17 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........64 70 61 61 60 53 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 88 88 RH..............82 79 72 68 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 94 96 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 4300 4500 4500 3800 3800 MIX HGT (M).....1190 1310 1370 1370 1160 1160 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 18 SE 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...DESTRI REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100717.DEEPW.09/LIX