FNUS74 KLIX 172043 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 343 PM CDT SAT JUL 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1500 CDT...1020MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST AREA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS ALONG 94W. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1400 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 98F HOUMA /HUM/... 98F GULFPORT /GPT/...105F SLIDELL /ASD/... 98F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 98F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 94F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 20Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...S 10KT 250FT...SE 10KT 500FT...SE 11KT 1KFT...SE 12KT 2KFT...SE 15KT 3KFT...SE 14KT 4KFT...SE 10KT 5KFT...SE 10KT MAX WIND...130/15KT 2.3FT. STORM MOTION...149/8KT 17/06Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/18/10 SFC...SE 09KT 250FT...SE 09KT 500FT...SE 10KT 1KFT...SE 10KT 2KFT...SE 11KT 3KFT...SE 9KT 4KFT...SSE 08KT 5KFT...S 07KT MAX WIND...053/14KT 32.3KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 171951Z AUTO 19009KT 10SM CLR 31/24 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP173 T03060244 TSNO METAR KGAO 172020Z AUTO 13010KT SCT024 BKN029 BKN035 31/25 A3002 RMK AO2 METAR KIPN 172035Z AUTO 16008KT 10SM CLR A3003 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 172035Z AUTO 18011KT 10SM 30/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 172035Z AUTO 15014G19KT 10SM CLR 28/24 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 172035Z AUTO 21006G12KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025 SCT035 ISOLD 5SM SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 300. MARINE AREAS...EAST OF 90W...VFR SCT020 SCT040 ISOLD 3SM SHRA/TSRA BKN030 WITH TOPS TO 400. WEST OF 90W...VFR SCT025 BKN035 SCT 3SM SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 350. KHUM 171919Z 1719/1818 16007KT P6SM BKN030 FM172000 17009KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB BKN080 FM180100 17005KT P6SM SCT030 KHSA 171919Z 1719/1818 18005KT P6SM VCSH SCT035 BKN250 FM172100 16004KT P6SM VCTS SCT035CB BKN080 OVC250 FM180000 16005KT P6SM BKN250 FM181200 16007KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR FEW020 SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE TO S WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 SCT-BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E TO SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1500 CDT...SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE DETECTED NEAR THE SPILL SITE. THE MOVEMENT WAS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. AT THE TOP OF THE HOUR THERE WERE NO LIGHTNING STRIKES REPORTED NEAR THE SPILL SITE...HOWEVER...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO WATER STRIKES MAY DEVELOP IN THE NEXT HOUR. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.92 FT AT 1436 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 1.68 FT AT 0300 CDT. WYCM6 1.12 FT AT 1436 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 2.03 FT AT 0600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.3F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........45 45 45 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 87 86 RH..............65 65 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 94 20 FT WIND DIR..S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 4.0 4.0 MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 16 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........45 45 56 56 62 64 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............86 83 81 81 81 81 RH..............69 74 79 79 79 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..94 90 86 86 86 87 20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 SE 6 SE 7 SE 6 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....4000 3900 3700 3700 4100 3900 MIX HGT (M).....1220 1190 1130 1130 1250 1190 TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 SE 14 SE 14 SE 14 SE 17 S 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 8 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........64 70 61 61 60 53 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 88 88 RH..............82 79 72 68 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 94 96 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 4300 4500 4500 3800 3800 MIX HGT (M).....1190 1310 1370 1370 1160 1160 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 18 SE 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC $$ FORECASTER...DESTRI REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100717.DEEPW.10/LIX