FNUS74 KLIX 180012 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 712 PM CDT SAT JUL 17 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1900 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GULF COAST AREA WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS ALONG 94W. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1600 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 92F HOUMA /HUM/... 92F GULFPORT /GPT/... 97F SLIDELL /ASD/... 95F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 94F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 95F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...S 10KT 250FT...VRB 5KT 500FT...VRB 4KT 1KFT...E 4KT 2KFT...SE 5KT 3KFT...VRB 3KT 4KFT...NE 5KT 5KFT...NE 5KT MAX WIND...039/26KT 41.2FT. STORM MOTION...150/4KT 17/12Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/18/10 SFC...SE 08KT 250FT...SE 8KT 500FT...SE 9KT 1KFT...SE 9KT 2KFT...SE 9KT 3KFT...S 9KT 4KFT...S 8KT 5KFT...S 8KT MAX WIND...040/13KT 30.4KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 172351Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 29/24 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP170 60000 T02940244 10311 20278 53002 TSNO METAR KGAO 180000Z AUTO 14003KT CLR 29/25 A3003 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 172350Z 16005KT 7SM -RA SCT013 BKN035 27/26 A3003 METAR KIPN 172355Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT023 SCT030 BKN046 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 172355Z AUTO 18010KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 172355Z AUTO 18010KT 10SM CLR 29/24 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 172355Z AUTO 17007KT 10SM CLR 30/24 A3002 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025 SCT035 ISOLD 4SM SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 300. MARINE AREAS...EAST OF 90W...VFR SCT020 SCT040 ISOLD 3SM SHRA/TSRA BKN030 WITH TOPS TO 400. WEST OF 90W...VFR SCT025 BKN035 SCT 3SM SHRA/TSRA WITH TOPS TO 400. KHUM 172340Z 1800/1824 15005KT P6SM VCTS SCT027CB BKN120 FM180100 17005KT P6SM SCT030 FM181300 17005KT P6SM SCT020 BKN250 FM181500 17007KT P6SM OVC050 TEMPO 1818/1822 P6SM TS BKN050CB FM182200 17007KT P6SM OVC100 KHSA 180001Z 1800/1824 16005KT P6SM -RA SCT013 BKN035 FM181200 16007KT P6SM SCT030 BKN250 FM181500 16008KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN050 FM181800 16009KT P6SM OVC250 TEMPO 1818/1821 4SM TS BKN050CB FM182100 16007KT P6SM OVC250 TEMPO 1821/1824 5SM TS BKN050CB AMD NOT SKED AFT 180200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...VFR FEW020 SCT030 BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE TO S WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 SCT-BKN050. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E TO SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1900 CDT...ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE DETECTED WEST OF THE SPILL SITE MAINLY WEST OF TERREBONNE BAY. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AND NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 KT. NO LIGHTNING STRIKES WERE DETECTED. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.12 FT AT 1836 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.68 FT AT 0330 CDT. WYCM6 1.03 FT AT 1836 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 1.58 FT 0600 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........45 45 56 56 56 62 62 62 64 64 64 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............85 83 82 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 81 RH..............74 77 79 79 79 79 79 82 82 82 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..93 90 88 86 86 86 86 87 87 87 87 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 3.9 3.9 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.9 MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 14 14 17 17 17 17 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........64 70 61 61 60 53 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 85 87 88 88 RH..............82 79 72 68 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 94 96 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3900 4300 4500 4500 3800 3800 MIX HGT (M).....1190 1310 1370 1370 1160 1160 TRANSPORT WIND..S 15 S 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 18 SE 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).S 7 S 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .SUNDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........53 50 62 62 47 63 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 84 83 82 81 80 RH..............68 74 77 79 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 92 90 89 87 85 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3700 3800 3800 3400 3300 MIX HGT (M).....1160 1130 1160 1160 1040 1010 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17 SE 16 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ZEIGLER REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100717.DEEPW.14/LIX