FNUS75 KPUB 180151
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEDANO...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
751 PM MDT SAT JUL 17 2010

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE FOUR CORNERS TO MID-
WEEK...WITH SLIGHTLY MORE AVAILABLE MOISTURE FOR SUNDAY. WHAT THIS
MEANS FOR THE FIRE AREA IS THAT THE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPERIENCED
THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. HOT AND PRIMARILY
DRY...WITH NORMAL SLOPE AND VALLEY WIND CIRCULATIONS AFTER SUNSET
THROUGH MID-MORNING. CUMULUS BUILD-UPS WILL OCCUR ONCE AGAIN
BEGINNING AROUND 1100 OR 1200...AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
ONCE AGAIN PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. SPECIFIC WIND
DIRECTIONS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORM DOWNDRAFTS ARE IMPOSSIBLE TO
PREDICT...SO KEEP TABS ON BUILDING CONVECTION AND KNOW THAT SINCE
IT IS SO DFRY AT THE SURFACE...THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE VIRGA
WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND LITTLE IF ANY BENEFICIAL RAIN.

A SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE AT THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THEN MORE ISOLATED ON MONDAY.

THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION FOR THE AREA
BEGINNING ON TUESDAY.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(50 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH THROUGH 0700...
                    THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH BY 0900.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 13000 FT AGL AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL 1700...THEN SOUTHEAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900. GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(32 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55F.
MAX HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 0200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(36 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-85F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH THROUGH 0700...
                    THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3-6 MPH BY 0900.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 3500 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1300...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...ZION MODULE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100717.MEDAN.01/PUB