FNAK79 PAFG 191300
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
500 AM AKDT MON JUL 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1856 AKDT ON JULY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE FLOW
GRADUALLY BECOMING WEAK ON TUESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY.
ISOLATED SHOWERS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SCATTERED THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN THE AIR ANY SHOWERS
THAT MOVE OVER THE FIRE COULD PRODUCE A WETTING RAIN...BUT THE BEST
CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OFF TO THE WEST OF THE FIRE. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE EARLY THIS WEEK WITH EXCELLENT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EACH NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 10 MPH
                    BY NOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL
                    BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
                    PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH DIMINISHING TO 2 TO 5 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO AROUND 800 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL BY NOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...TIM EPP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100718.501PA.01/AFG