FNUS74 KLIX 182316 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 616 PM CDT SUN JUL 18 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1800 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018.5MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1800 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 94F HOUMA /HUM/... 96F GULFPORT /GPT/... 93F SLIDELL /ASD/... 93F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 88F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 97F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 23Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...S 8KT 250FT...SE 4KT 500FT...SE 4KT 1KFT...SE 8KT 2KFT...SE 10KT 3KFT...SE 8KT 4KFT...SE 7KT 5KFT...SE 7KT MAX WIND...007/29KT 40.7FT. STORM MOTION...154/4KT 18/12Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/19/10 SFC...ESE 8KT 250FT...ESE 8KT 500FT...ESE 9KT 1KFT...ESE 9KT 2KFT...SE 9KT 3KFT...SE 10KT 4KFT...SE 11KT 5KFT...SE 11KT MAX WIND...036/17KT 53.9KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 182251Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP176 T02780233 TSNO METAR KGAO 182300Z AUTO 00000KT CLR 29/25 A3004 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 182254Z 15004KT 10SM SCT030 SCT050 28/24 A3004 METAR KIPN 182255Z AUTO 08007KT 10SM CLR A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 182255Z AUTO 17008KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 182255Z AUTO 28006KT 8SM FEW025 FEW039 SCT046 29/25 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 182255Z AUTO 21008KT 9SM SCT025 SCT029 SCT036 29/25 A3004 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025CB BKN040 SCT 3SM SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB WITH TOPS TO 400. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT020CB SCT035 ISOLD 3SM SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB WITH TOPS TO 400. KHUM 181724Z 1818/1918 16006KT P6SM OVC050 TEMPO 1818/1820 2SM TSRA OVC015CB FM182000 17006KT P6SM OVC070 TEMPO 1820/1823 5SM -SHRA OVC035CB FM190000 16005KT P6SM BKN100 KHSA 181724Z 1818/1918 18006KT P6SM SCT035 BKN070 TEMPO 1818/1820 -SHRA BKN035CB FM182000 16008KT P6SM OVC050 TEMPO 1820/1823 3SM TSRA BKN035CB FM190000 15005KT P6SM BKN100= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 SCT-BKN050. ISO/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E TO SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1800 CDT...NO PRECIPITATION OR LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED NEAR THE SPILL SITE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING NEAR THE COAST...THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL JUST NORTH OF BOOTHVILLE AND NORTHEAST OF HOPEDALE. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.83FT AT 1735 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.93 FT AT 0400 CDT. WYCM6 0.88FT AT 1726 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.75 FT AT 1800 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........64 44 44 44 40 40 44 44 44 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 86 85 84 84 83 83 82 82 82 82 82 RH..............70 72 72 72 74 74 77 77 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 95 94 91 91 90 90 88 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 2.5 2.5 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.6 MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 14 9 9 10 10 10 14 14 14 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 49 42 42 49 50 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 87 88 88 RH..............77 77 72 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 88 91 95 97 97 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3500 3500 3500 4000 3600 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1070 1070 1070 1220 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 10 SE 14 SE 14 SE 16 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 4 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 51 49 49 55 61 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 86 84 83 82 82 RH..............65 68 72 77 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 94 91 90 89 89 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 7 E 8 E 9 E 9 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 4000 3400 3400 2900 2800 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1220 1040 1040 880 850 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 SE 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ZEIGLER REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100718.DEEPW.12/LIX