FNUS74 KLIX 190012 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 712 PM CDT SUN JUL 18 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1900 CDT...1019MB HIGH WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. SFC PRES AT SOURCE 1018.5MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1900 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/... 91F HOUMA /HUM/... 96F GULFPORT /GPT/... 93F SLIDELL /ASD/... 90F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 88F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 95F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 00Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...S 7KT 250FT...ESE 5KT 500FT...ESE 5KT 1KFT...ESE 8KT 2KFT...SE 8KT 3KFT...SSE 6KT 4KFT...S 4KT 5KFT...SE 7KT MAX WIND...003/28KT 36.4FT. STORM MOTION...149/5KT 18/12Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/19/10 SFC...ESE 8KT 250FT...ESE 8KT 500FT...ESE 9KT 1KFT...ESE 9KT 2KFT...SE 9KT 3KFT...SE 10KT 4KFT...SE 11KT 5KFT...SE 11KT MAX WIND...036/17KT 53.9KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 182351Z AUTO 35003KT 10SM CLR 28/23 A3004 RMK AO2 SLP173 60011 T02780233 10300 20250 58004 TSNO METAR KGAO 190000Z AUTO 00000KT CLR 28/25 A3004 RMK AO2 PWINO METAR KHSA 182355Z 15003KT 10SM SCT029 SCT040 28/25 A3004 METAR KIPN 182355Z AUTO 07009KT 10SM CLR A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 182355Z AUTO 16006KT 10SM CLR 29/25 A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 182355Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM FEW003 29/24 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 182355Z AUTO 00000KT 9SM CLR 30/24 A3003 RMK A01 .AREAL AVIATION... COASTAL LAND AREAS...VFR SCT025CB BKN040 SCT 3SM SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB WITH TOPS TO 400. MARINE AREAS...VFR SCT020CB SCT035 ISOLD 3SM SHRA/TSRA BKN025CB WITH TOPS TO 400. KHUM 182320Z 1900/1924 16008KT P6SM SCT030 BKN060 TEMPO 1900/1902 -TSRA BKN030CB FM190200 13004KT P6SM BKN150 TEMPO 1910/1914 5SM BR SCT015 FM191400 17008KT P6SM SCT040 BKN100 TEMPO 1918/1920 BKN040 FM192000 14008KT P6SM SCT025 OVC050 TEMPO 1920/1924 3SM -TSRA BKN025CB KHSA 182320Z 1900/1924 16008KT P6SM SCT030 BKN150 TEMPO 1900/1902 -TSRA BKN030CB FM190200 13004KT P6SM BKN150 TEMPO 1910/1914 5SM BR SCT015 FM191400 17008KT P6SM SCT040 BKN100 TEMPO 1918/1920 BKN040 FM192000 14008KT P6SM SCT025 OVC050 PROB30 1920/1924 3SM -TSRA BKN025CB AMD NOT SKED AFT 190200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...VFR SCT030 SCT-BKN050. ISO/SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E TO SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1900 CDT...NO PRECIPITATION OR LIGHTNING WAS DETECTED NEAR THE SPILL SITE. ISOLATED SHOWERS WERE OCCURRING OVER THE SAINT BERNARD PARISH COASTAL MARSHES. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. A GENERAL TREND OF NO PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COAST IS EXPECTED BY 2000 CDT. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.93FT AT 1835 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 1.93 FT AT 0400 CDT. WYCM6 0.70FT AT 1826 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.75 FT AT 1800 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........44 44 44 40 40 44 44 44 50 50 50 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............86 85 84 84 83 83 82 82 82 82 82 RH..............72 72 72 74 74 77 77 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 94 91 91 90 90 88 88 88 88 88 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.6 3.6 2.5 2.5 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.6 3.6 3.6 MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 9 9 10 10 10 14 14 14 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 49 42 42 49 50 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 87 88 88 RH..............77 77 72 65 63 63 HEAT INDEX (F)..88 88 91 95 97 97 20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 3500 3500 3500 4000 3600 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1070 1070 1070 1220 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 10 SE 14 SE 14 SE 16 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 6 SE 4 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 30 30 SEAS............2 2 2 2 2 2 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .MONDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 51 49 49 55 61 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 86 84 83 82 82 RH..............65 68 72 77 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 94 91 90 89 89 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 7 E 8 E 9 E 9 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....3600 4000 3400 3400 2900 2800 MIX HGT (M).....1100 1220 1040 1040 880 850 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 13 SE 15 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............2 2 2 2 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ZEIGLER REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100718.DEEPW.13/LIX