FNUS74 KLIX 191623 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1123 AM CDT MON JUL 19 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1100 CDT...1020MB HIGH PRESSURE COVERED MUCH OF GEORGIA... ALABAMA...AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING WEST ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. WEAK INVERTED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM SOUTH CENTRAL GULF TO NORTHEAST GULF. PRESSURE AT SOURCE 1019MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1100 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...100F HOUMA /HUM/... MM GULFPORT /GPT/...102F SLIDELL /ASD/... 95F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 94F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 92F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 16Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 10KT 250FT...E 13KT 500FT...E 13KT 1KFT...E 14KT 2KFT...E 15KT 3KFT...E 16KT 4KFT...E 16KT 5KFT...E 13KT MAX WIND...110/17KT 3.5FT. STORM MOTION...127/7KT 19/00Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/20/10 SFC...E 13KT 250FT...E 15KT 500FT...E 16KT 1KFT...E 17KT 2KFT...E 18KT 3KFT...E 18KT 4KFT...E 19KT 5KFT...E 21KT MAX WIND...099/23KT 5.7KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W SPECI KBVE 191601Z AUTO 11005KT 10SM FEW023 SCT029 BKN049 31/24 A3008 RMK AO2 TSNO METAR KGAO 191600Z AUTO 09007KT 31/25 A3008 RMK AO2 SKY OBSCURED METAR KHSA 191556Z 00000KT 10SM SCT040 BKN120 30/22 A3008 METAR KIPN 191615Z AUTO 09013KT 10SM CLR A3008 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 191615Z AUTO VRB06G13KT 10SM 32/24 A3006 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 191615Z AUTO 12010KT 10SM FEW027 30/24 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 191615Z AUTO 10005KT 9SM CLR 29/24 A3007 RMK A01 AVIATION... OVER LAND...VFR P6SM SCT030...ISOLD 4SM SHRA WITH TOPS 250 DVLPG BY 17Z. OVER WATER...VFR P6SM FEW-SCT030...ISOLD 4SM SHRA WITH TOPS 250 MAY DEVELOP MAINLY WITHIN 20 MI FROM SHORE BY 18Z. KHUM 191125Z 1912/2012 13004KT 5SM BR SCT025 BKN150 FM191400 12008KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN200 FM191700 14008KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN040 FM200000 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN200 FM200900 VRB03KT 5SM BR SCT015 KHSA 191125Z 1912/2012 13004KT P6SM SCT020 BKN150 FM191400 14008KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN150 FM191800 14008KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN040 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN200= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E TO SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1100 CDT...NO PRECIPITATION OR LIGHTNING DETECTED WITHIN 70 MILES OF SPILL AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.98 FT AT 1050 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.30 FT AT 1500 CDT. WYCM6 1.75 FT AT 1050 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.55 FT AT 1800 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........44 44 48 48 48 50 50 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............66 65 64 64 64 64 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 96 97 97 97 96 96 20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 9 10 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 15 15 15 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20 30 SEAS............2 2 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......LC LC CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 51 49 49 55 61 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 84 84 83 83 RH..............65 70 72 74 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 93 91 92 90 90 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 8 E 8 E 8 E 9 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 3000 3100 3100 2800 2800 MIX HGT (M).....980 910 940 940 850 850 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 14 E 13 E 13 E 14 SE 17 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 SE 6 E 6 E 6 E 6 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............3 3 3 3 2 2 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 53 59 59 43 48 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 84 87 88 88 RH..............77 77 74 68 66 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 92 96 98 99 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 E 10 E 11 E 13 E 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2800 3200 3400 3400 3400 3100 MIX HGT (M).....850 980 1040 1040 1040 940 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 17 SE 15 E 18 E 18 E 21 E 22 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 8 SE 7 E 8 E 8 E 9 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............2 3 3 3 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH RO RO $$ FORECASTER...DESTRI REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100719.DEEPW.06/LIX