FNUS74 KLIX 192215 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 515 PM CDT MON JUL 19 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1700 CDT...1018MB LARGE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE COVERED MUCH OF THE GULF COAST REGION FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. WEAK INVERTED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDED ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. PRESSURE AT SOURCE 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1600 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...100F HOUMA /HUM/... 95F GULFPORT /GPT/... 99F SLIDELL /ASD/... 97F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/... 98F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 22Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ES 7KT 250FT...E 7KT 500FT...E 8KT 1KFT...E 12KT 2KFT...SE 17KT 3KFT...SE 16KT 4KFT...SE 15KT 5KFT...SE 15KT MAX WIND...134/19KT 6.3FT. STORM MOTION...158/7KT 19/12Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/20/10 SFC...E 13KT 250FT...E 14KT 500FT...E 15KT 1KFT...E 16KT 2KFT...E 16KT 3KFT...E 16KT 4KFT...E 17KT 5KFT...E 18KT MAX WIND...098/17KT 14.6KFT. .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 192151Z AUTO 09005KT 10SM SCT035 32/23 A3002 RMK AO2 SLP166 T03170233 TSNO METAR KGAO 192200Z AUTO 10004KT 10SM CLR 32/24 A3002 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 192151Z 12005KT 10SM SCT029 30/24 A3002 METAR KIPN 192155Z AUTO 09014KT 10SM CLR A3001 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 192155Z AUTO VRB06G11KT 10SM CLR 32/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 192155Z AUTO 12009KT 10SM FEW030 30/23 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 192155Z AUTO 14007G12KT 10SM SCT029 SCT035 32/24 A3001 RMK A01 AVIATION... OVER LAND...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT040...VERY ISOLD 4SM SHRA WITH TOPS 250. OVER WATER...VFR P6SM FEW-SCT030...VERY ISOLD 4SM SHRA WITH TOPS 250. KHUM 191720Z 1918/2018 14008KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN040 FM200000 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN200 FM201400 11007KT P6SM SCT025 KHSA 191720Z 1918/2018 13008KT P6SM SCT025 BKN040 FM200100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN200 FM201400 13007KT P6SM SCT025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR TUE...VFR SCT030. ISO SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT E TO SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1700 CDT...NO PRECIPITATION OR LIGHTNING DETECTED WITHIN 100 MILES OF SPILL AREA. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.47 FT AT 1636 CDT NEAR LOW TIDE...HIGH TIDE 2.00 FT AT 0500 CDT. WYCM6 1.00 FT AT 1630 CDT STEADY...LOW TIDE 0.50 FT AT 1800 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 88F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........50 56 56 56 59 59 59 59 57 57 62 62 62 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 87 86 85 85 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 84 RH..............65 68 70 72 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 74 HEAT INDEX (F)..95 95 94 94 94 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 92 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 12 12 12 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 CEILINGS........S S S S S S S S S S S S S SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TUESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........62 63 58 58 49 59 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............84 84 83 88 88 88 RH..............74 74 77 66 66 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 90 98 98 98 20 FT WIND......E 8 E 8 E 8 E 10 E 11 E 11 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 3700 2800 2800 3400 3400 MIX HGT (M).....760 1130 850 850 1040 1040 TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 E 16 E 20 E 20 E 22 SE 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 5 E 7 E 9 E 9 E 10 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH RO RO .TUESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........59 64 54 54 50 61 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 84 84 82 82 RH..............68 72 74 74 79 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 94 92 92 89 89 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 E 11 SE 12 SE 12 E 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (FT)....3400 3400 3400 3400 2600 3500 MIX HGT (M).....1040 1040 1040 1040 790 1070 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 21 SE 18 E 17 E 17 E 21 SE 26 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 8 E 8 E 8 E 9 SE 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............3 4 4 4 5 5 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH. .THURSDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .FRIDAY... PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...SHIELDS REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100719.DEEPW.12/LIX