FNUS72 KTAE 191338
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 231...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
938 AM EDT MON JUL 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...REDUCING THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.
AT LOWER LEVELS...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN JUST NORTH OF
THE AREA KEEPING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S. SOUTH OF THIS
RIDGE...SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
TO MAINTAIN RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA. ANY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SEA
BREEZE GENERATED. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE RED FLAG
LEVELS THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
                    TEMPERATURE.........85 AT IGNITION...MAX 95.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL NOON...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 5100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 40.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............83     88     94     95     93     88
RH..............72     57     46     45     46     55
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 5    E 5    SE 5   S 5    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....75.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING CALM.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 8 PM...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 2.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....95.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2 PM...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4400-5600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 71.

$$
FORECASTER...WOOL
REQUESTED BY...BOB AIRHART
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100719.UNIT2.01/TAE