FNUS73 KUNR 190806
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK CARIN...SDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
206 AM MDT MON JUL 19 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0139 MDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN WESTERLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN FOR SEVERAL
MORE DAYS.  ONE OF THESE DISTURBANCES IS MOVING INTO CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA THIS MORNING AND WILL NOT IMPACT THE FIRE AREA.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST SLOPES OF THE BLACK HILLS UNTIL LATE THIS AFTERNOON
OR EARLY THIS EVENING.

.PREDAWN MONDAY MORNING...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    TEMPERATURE.........UPPER 50S.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 TO 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................6 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 TO 1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
CWR.................16 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...DC
REQUESTED BY...KREMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100719.ROCKC.01/UNR