FNAK79 PAFG 211243
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
443 AM AKDT WED JUL 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2147 AKDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WELL SOUTH OF THE FIRE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST TODAY.
ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE SHOWERS AND RAIN WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH
OF THE FIRE...AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON. MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY MORNING...WITH MORE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY EARLY
                    MORNING FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING WEST 4 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER NOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...THEN 1 AFTER 2200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED AFTERNOON
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100720.501PA.01/AFG