FNUS75 KBOU 202356 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR STRANDED CLIMBER...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 556 PM MDT TUE JUL 20 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MOIST AND UNSTABLE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SHOWERS THIS EVENING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT 9 PM AND THEN DIMINISH. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AND CLOUD COVER WILL HELP TO KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES MILD. MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE STREAMING OVER THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER MOUNTAIN RIDGES BY LATE MORNING AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-48. MAX HUMIDITY........70-78%. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10-18 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-14 MPH AFTER 2100. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500-1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-60. MIN HUMIDITY........50-58%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 24 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL AFTER 1000. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-52. MAX HUMIDITY........72-80%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-61. MIN HUMIDITY........40-46%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL AFTER 0900. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR STRANDED CLIMBER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/20-17 90 64 56 46 W 20 5 2393 W 18 39089 P 07/20-18 74 46 54 49 SW 21 32 4 4 W43 1548 SW 20 25144 P 07/20-19 74 46 53 52 SW 20 4 1132 SW 17 17983 P 07/20-20 74 46 51 57 SW 17 4 715 SW 16 10821 P 07/20-21 74 46 50 62 SW 16 25 4 4 W40 299 SW 15 3659 P 07/20-22 74 46 49 65 SW 16 4 261 SW 15 3139 P 07/20-23 74 46 49 68 SW 16 4 222 SW 14 2620 P 07/21-00 58 20 48 69 SW 16 26 4 3 W36 184 SW 14 2100 P 07/21-01 58 20 47 70 SW 16 3 182 SW 14 2167 P 07/21-02 58 20 47 70 SW 17 3 181 SW 15 2233 P 07/21-03 58 20 47 68 SW 17 28 4 3 W18 179 SW 15 2299 P 07/21-04 58 20 46 67 SW 17 3 208 SW 16 2775 P 07/21-05 58 20 46 65 SW 16 3 236 SW 16 3251 P 07/21-06 60 17 46 62 SW 16 26 4 3 SW32 265 SW 16 3728 P 07/21-07 60 17 46 59 SW 16 3 300 SW 16 3908 P 07/21-08 60 17 48 56 SW 16 3 335 SW 15 4088 P 07/21-09 60 17 49 54 SW 16 25 4 3 W25 370 SW 14 4268 P 07/21-10 60 17 51 53 SW 16 3 779 SW 14 9958 P 07/21-11 60 17 53 54 W 16 3 1189 W 15 15649 P 07/21-12 74 66 54 56 W 16 25 4 5 W21 1598 W 16 21339 P 07/21-13 74 66 54 58 W 15 5 1732 W 16 23302 P 07/21-14 74 66 54 59 W 13 5 1866 W 16 25265 P 07/21-15 74 66 54 60 W 13 21 4 5 SW30 2000 W 16 27229 P 07/21-16 74 66 54 61 W 16 5 1812 W 17 27137 P 07/21-17 74 66 54 62 W 20 5 1625 W 20 27045 P 07/21-18 74 40 53 63 W 22 35 4 4 W25 1437 W 22 26954 P 07/21-19 74 40 53 64 SW 21 4 1183 W 20 20860 P 07/21-20 74 40 52 67 SW 18 4 928 SW 17 14766 P 07/21-21 74 20 52 67 SW 15 23 4 3 W26 674 SW 15 8672 P 07/21-22 74 20 51 69 SW 14 3 578 SW 15 7394 P 07/21-23 74 20 51 70 SW 15 3 483 SW 15 6117 P 07/22-00 56 5 50 71 W 16 25 4 1 W25 387 W 15 4839 P 07/22-01 56 5 50 72 W 17 1 337 W 15 4304 P 07/22-02 56 5 49 72 W 17 1 287 W 16 3768 P 07/22-03 56 5 49 71 W 20 31 4 1 SW28 237 W 16 3233 P 07/22-04 56 5 49 71 W 21 1 246 W 17 3615 P 07/22-05 56 5 49 69 W 22 1 256 W 18 3997 P 07/22-06 56 7 49 67 W 22 36 4 1 W26 266 W 20 4379 P 07/22-07 56 7 49 64 W 22 1 455 W 20 7602 P 07/22-08 56 7 51 58 W 21 1 644 W 20 10825 P 07/22-09 56 7 53 53 W 20 31 4 1 W20 834 W 20 14047 P 07/22-10 56 7 54 49 W 21 1 1459 W 22 30369 P 07/22-11 56 7 55 46 W 22 1 2083 W 24 46691 F 07/22-12 65 25 56 45 W 23 37 4 4 SW15 2708 W 28 63012 G 07/22-13 65 25 56 44 W 22 4 3042 W 25 63968 G 07/22-14 65 25 57 43 W 21 4 3375 W 23 64923 G 07/22-15 65 25 57 43 W 20 31 4 4 SW20 3709 W 21 65878 G 07/22-16 65 25 57 43 W 18 4 3527 W 20 59236 F 07/22-17 65 25 57 44 W 17 4 3345 W 18 52594 F 07/22-18 65 25 56 45 W 16 25 4 4 W23 3163 W 17 45952 F 07/22-19 65 25 55 46 W 15 4 2289 W 16 32540 P 07/22-20 65 25 53 48 W 14 4 1415 W 14 19128 P 07/22-21 65 25 51 50 W 12 12 4 4 W24 541 W 13 5715 P 07/22-22 65 25 50 51 W 10 4 441 W 10 4364 P 07/22-23 65 25 49 51 W 9 4 340 W 9 3012 P 07/23-00 30 1 48 51 W 8 8 4 1 W24 241 W 8 1661 P 07/23-01 30 1 47 51 W 8 1 230 W 8 1540 P 07/23-02 30 1 46 49 W 8 1 220 W 8 1418 P 07/23-03 30 1 46 48 W 9 9 4 1 W28 210 W 7 1297 P 07/23-04 30 1 45 48 W 10 1 208 W 8 1395 P 07/23-05 30 1 45 48 W 12 1 206 W 9 1492 P 07/23-06 30 0 45 50 W 12 16 4 1 W29 203 W 9 1590 P 07/23-07 30 0 46 52 W 9 1 400 W 9 3164 P 07/23-08 30 0 49 52 W 9 1 596 W 9 4739 P 07/23-09 30 0 51 53 SW 8 8 5 1 W21 793 W 9 6313 P 07/23-10 30 0 53 52 SW 8 1 1773 W 10 18215 P 07/23-11 30 0 54 51 SW 8 1 2753 W 13 30116 P 07/23-12 42 20 55 50 SW 7 7 4 3 W15 3733 W 14 42017 F 07/23-13 42 20 55 50 SW 6 3 5036 W 14 61509 G 07/23-14 42 20 56 50 W 6 3 6339 W 15 81000 G 07/23-15 42 20 56 49 W 5 5 4 3 NW14 7642 W 15 100491 V 07/23-16 42 20 56 49 W 3 3 6961 W 14 86431 G 07/23-17 42 20 56 49 NW 2 3 6279 W 14 72371 G 07/23-18 42 20 56 49 NW 2 2 4 3 NW15 5598 W 13 58310 F KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...CRAIG BROUWER REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20100720.STRAN.01/BOU