FNUS75 KGJT 202217
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST FORK...SJF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
417 PM MDT TUE JUL 20 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1546 MDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE HAS INCREASED OVER THE AREA RATHER
DRAMATICALLY...AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CORRESPONDINGLY HIGHER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF WETTING RAINS ARE EXPECTED
WITH STORMS. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR FIREFIGHTERS WILL BE ENHANCED
WINDS WITHIN THE PROXIMITY OF ANY STORMS AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.THIS AFTERNOON (THROUGH SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY NORTH OF THE FIRE SITE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2200...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    22 MPH AT TIMES...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (41200 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8200 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...STEVE FRUGOLI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100720.EASTF.02/GJT