FNUS75 KGJT 201652
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TWIN BUTTE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1052 AM MDT TUE JUL 20 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1016 MDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE HAS INCREASED OVER THE AREA RATHER DRAMATICALLY...AND WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
CORRESPONDINGLY HIGHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF
WETTING RAINS ARE EXPECTED WITH STORMS. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR
FIREFIGHTERS WILL BE ENHANCED WINDS WITHIN THE PROXIMITY OF ANY
STORMS AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%) BY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    A FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-53%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH EVENING
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH. WINDS SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500-34300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 14 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...JIM MICHELS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100720.TWINB.01/GJT