FNUS74 KLIX 201005 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 505 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0500 CDT...1020MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL GA..AL...MS AND LA. TROPICAL WAVES WERE LOCATED OVER THE CENRAL AND SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO AND WERE MOVING WEST. PRESSURE AT SPILL STIE WAS 1017MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0500 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...<90F HOUMA /HUM/...<90F GULFPORT /GPT/...<90F SLIDELL /ASD/...<90F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/...<90F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 97F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 10Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 7KT 250FT...E 8KT 500FT...E 9KT 1KFT...E 9KT 2KFT...SE 15KT 3KFT...SE 15KT 4KFT...SE 13KT 5KFT...SE 13KT MAX WIND...105/15KT 1.9FT. STORM MOTION...146/8KT 20/00Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/21/10 SFC...E 11KT 250FT...E 12KT 500FT...E 13KT 1KFT...E 13KT 2KFT...E 14KT 3KFT...E 15KT 4KFT...E 17KT 5KFT...E 18KT MAX WIND...089 23KT 43.8 KFT. STORM MOTION...134/11KT .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 200951Z AUTO 12003KT 10SM CLR 27/25 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP162 T02720250 TSNO METAR KGAO 200940Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 25/24 A3000 RMK AO2 METAR KHSA 200148Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 25/25 A3002 METAR KIPN 200955Z AUTO 11020KT 10SM A3000 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 200955Z AUTO 15014KT 10SM SCT019 SCT024 30/25 A2998 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 200955Z AUTO 15015KT 10SM FEW024 FEW033 30/25 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 200955Z AUTO VRB05G11KT 10SM FEW019 FEW024 FEW037 30/25 A2999 RMK A01 AVIATION... OVER LAND...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT040...SCT 3SM -TSRA WITH TOPS 400. OVER WATER...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT035...SCT 3SM -TS WITH TOPS 350. KHUM 200531Z 2006/2106 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN200 FM201400 11007KT P6SM SCT025 FM202000 11007KT P6SM SCT025 BKN040 PROB30 2020/2101 -TSRA BKN025CB FM210100 13005KT P6SM SCT040 BKN150 KHSA 200531Z 2006/2106 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN200 FM201400 13007KT P6SM SCT025 FM202000 12007KT P6SM SCT025 BKN040 PROB30 2020/2101 -TSRA BKN025CB FM210100 12007KT P6SM SCT040 BKN150 AMD NOT SKED= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT E TO SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 0500 CDT...ISOLD SHRA ABOUT 90 NMI S OF SPILL SITE. NO LIGHTNING DETECTED WITHIN 100 NMI. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.14 FT AT 0436 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 2.15 FT AT 0500 CDT. WYCM6 2.57 FT AT 0436 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 2.68 FT AT 0640 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.5F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........62 63 63 63 63 58 58 58 49 49 59 59 59 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 84 84 84 86 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............74 74 74 74 74 70 66 66 66 66 66 66 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 92 92 92 95 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 17 17 17 15 15 17 17 17 20 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S).7 8 8 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........59 64 54 54 50 61 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 84 84 83 83 RH..............68 72 74 74 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 94 92 92 90 90 20 FT WIND......E 10 SE 10 E 10 SE 11 SE 11 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3200 2800 2800 2500 3000 MIX HGT (M).....1010 980 850 850 760 910 TRANSPORT WIND..E 20 SE 20 SE 21 SE 21 SE 21 SE 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............3 3 3 3 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 57 57 57 59 59 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 83 84 88 88 88 RH..............79 77 74 66 64 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 98 97 97 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2800 2900 2900 2400 2600 MIX HGT (M).....910 850 880 880 730 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 18 E 18 E 18 E 20 E 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 8 E 8 E 8 E 9 E 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............4 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100720.DEEPW.01/LIX