FNUS74 KLIX 201243 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 743 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0745 CDT...1021MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL GA..AL...MS AND LA. TROPICAL WAVES WERE LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 95W AND 85W OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. BOTH OF THESE CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD. PRESSURE AT SPILL STIE WAS 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 0745 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...<90F HOUMA /HUM/...<90F GULFPORT /GPT/...<90F SLIDELL /ASD/...<90F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/...<90F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 13Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 13KT 250FT...E 14KT 500FT...E 15KT 1KFT...E 16KT 2KFT...E 18KT 3KFT...SE 22KT 4KFT...SE 21KT 5KFT...SE 15KT MAX WIND...128/23KT 3.3FT. STORM MOTION...149/9KT 20/00Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/21/10 SFC...E 11KT 250FT...E 12KT 500FT...E 13KT 1KFT...E 13KT 2KFT...E 14KT 3KFT...E 15KT 4KFT...E 17KT 5KFT...E 18KT MAX WIND...089 23KT 43.8 KFT. STORM MOTION...134/11KT .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 201151Z AUTO 13004KT 10SM CLR 27/25 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP176 T02720250 10278 20272 53019 TSNO METAR KGAO 201220Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN022 BKN041 BKN050 27/25 A3005 RMK AO2 SPECI KHSA 201230Z 12004KT 5SM -RA BKN010 OVC020 25/24 A3007 METAR KIPN 201235Z AUTO 11016KT 10SM FEW021 FEW027 A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 201235Z AUTO 14013KT 10SM CLR 31/25 A3003 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 201235Z AUTO 13013KT 10SM SCT022 BKN028 BKN039 30/25 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 201235Z AUTO VRB06G12KT 10SM SCT020 SCT024 SCT029 31/25 A3004 RMK A01 AVIATION... OVER LAND...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT040...SCT 3SM -TSRA WITH TOPS 400. OVER WATER...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT035...SCT 3SM -TS WITH TOPS 350. KHUM 201225Z 2012/2112 VRB03KT P6SM VCSH SCT025 FM201900 11007KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN040 FM210100 13005KT P6SM SCT040 BKN150 KHSA 201122Z 2012/2112 VRB03KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB FM201400 13007KT P6SM SCT025 FM201900 12007KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN040 FM210100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN150= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT E TO SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 0745 CDT...ISOLD SHRA CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ROUGHLY ALONG A SW-NE LINE THROUGH THE SPILL SITE. MOSTLY LGT PRECIP WITH NO LIGHTNING DETECTED. ALL SHRA MOVING NW. CLOSEST SHRA LOCATED ABOUT 8 MI SOUTH OF SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.04 FT AT 0718 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.16 FT AT 1600 CDT. WYCM6 2.91 FT AT 0718 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 2.93 FT AT 0700 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 86.5F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........63 63 58 58 58 49 49 59 59 59 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............84 86 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 88 RH..............74 74 70 66 66 66 66 66 66 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..92 95 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 98 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.3 MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 15 15 17 17 17 20 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S).8 8 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........59 64 54 54 50 61 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 84 84 83 83 RH..............68 72 74 74 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 94 92 92 90 90 20 FT WIND......E 10 SE 10 E 10 SE 11 SE 11 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 3200 2800 2800 2500 3000 MIX HGT (M).....1010 980 850 850 760 910 TRANSPORT WIND..E 20 SE 20 SE 21 SE 21 SE 21 SE 20 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 30 30 SEAS............3 3 3 3 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 57 57 57 59 59 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 83 84 88 88 88 RH..............79 77 74 66 64 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 90 92 98 97 97 20 FT WIND......SE 10 SE 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 2800 2900 2900 2400 2600 MIX HGT (M).....910 850 880 880 730 790 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 18 E 18 E 18 E 20 E 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 8 E 8 E 8 E 9 E 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 40 40 SEAS............4 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100720.DEEPW.04/LIX