FNUS74 KLIX 202223 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 523 PM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1700 CDT...1022MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN GA...AL...MS...LA...AND INTO SERN TX. TROPICAL WAVES WERE LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 95W AND 87W OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. BOTH OF THESE CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD. PRESSURE AT SPILL STIE WAS 1018MB. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1600 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...105F HOUMA /HUM/... 98F GULFPORT /GPT/...106F SLIDELL /ASD/...103F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/...103F WEST DELTA /DLP/...100F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 21Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...E 14KT 250FT...E 15KT 500FT...E 16KT 1KFT...E 17KT 2KFT...E 15KT 3KFT...E 15KT 4KFT...E 15KT 5KFT...E 14KT MAX WIND...092/17KT 0.6 KFT. STORM MOTION...132/10KT 20/00Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/21/10 SFC...E 11KT 250FT...E 12KT 500FT...E 13KT 1KFT...E 13KT 2KFT...E 14KT 3KFT...E 15KT 4KFT...E 17KT 5KFT...E 18KT MAX WIND...089 23KT 43.8 KFT. STORM MOTION...134/11KT .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 202151Z AUTO 08010KT 10SM FEW026 32/25 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP177 T03220250 TSNO METAR KGAO 202200Z AUTO 05013G18KT 10SM TS SCT031 SCT041 BKN085 33/25 A3006 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT W THRU E METAR KHSA 202151Z 14006KT 10SM SCT026 SCT045 31/25 A3006 METAR KIPN 202215Z AUTO 09022KT 10SM CLR A3004 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 202215Z AUTO VRB05G12KT 10SM 33/25 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 202215Z AUTO 11013KT 8SM FEW022 SCT027 BKN055 30/26 A3005 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 202215Z AUTO 09013KT 9SM SCT026 SCT033 BKN040 31/25 A3004 RMK A01 AVIATION... OVER LAND...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT040...SCT 3SM -TSRA WITH TOPS 400. OVER WATER...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT035...SCT 3SM -TS WITH TOPS 350. KHUM 201720Z 2018/2118 14007KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN040 FM210100 13005KT P6SM SCT040 BKN150 FM211400 11008KT P6SM SCT025 KHSA 201720Z 2018/2118 VRB04KT P6SM SCT025 FM202000 12007KT P6SM VCTS SCT025CB BKN040 FM210100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 BKN150 FM211400 12007KT P6SM SCT025= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR WED...VFR/MVFR SCT-BKN030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO MDT SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT E TO SE WIND. .RADAR... AT 1700 CDT...ISOLD LGT SHRA LOCATED ALONG A SW-NE LINE ABOUT 35 MI W OF SPILL SITE. SHRA ARE MOVING SLOWLY NW AND NO LIGHTNING IS DETECTED AT THIS TIME. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 0.58 FT AT 1644 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE WITHIN THE HOUR. WYCM6 0.85 FT AT 1644 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.56 FT AT 2000 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.0F. .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........59 66 66 66 68 68 68 68 59 59 59 54 54 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 87 87 86 86 85 85 85 84 83 83 83 83 RH..............68 68 70 70 72 72 72 74 77 77 77 77 77 HEAT INDEX (F)..96 96 96 95 95 94 94 94 92 90 90 90 90 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 20 20 TRANS SPD (M/S).9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 20 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .WEDNESDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........54 50 58 58 40 37 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............83 83 84 88 89 89 RH..............77 77 72 63 61 61 HEAT INDEX (F)..90 90 93 97 98 98 20 FT WIND......SE 10 E 9 E 9 E 10 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 4100 3800 3800 3400 3000 MIX HGT (M).....820 1250 1160 1160 1040 910 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 18 E 18 E 18 E 20 E 21 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 9 SE 8 E 8 E 8 E 9 E 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 SEAS............4 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........37 39 30 30 34 18 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 86 85 84 82 82 RH..............66 70 72 77 82 82 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 95 94 93 89 89 20 FT WIND......E 11 E 12 E 12 SE 13 SE 12 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 20 MIX HGT (FT)....3000 3600 3600 3600 3500 3700 MIX HGT (M).....910 1100 1100 1100 1070 1130 TRANSPORT WIND..E 21 E 22 SE 23 SE 23 SE 22 SE 18 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 9 E 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............5 5 5 5 6 6 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH $$ FORECASTER...BANNAN REQUESTED BY...MIKE EFFERSON TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100720.DEEPW.13/LIX