FNUS73 KMPX 201223
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCHOFFMAN PILES...FWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
723 AM CDT TUE JUL 20 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE WEST THROUGH EAST ACROSS THE PLANNING
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED
SHOWERS WHICH ARE PASSING OVER THE BURN SITE AT PRESENT. THESE SHOULD
BE PASSED BY IGNITION TIME WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE. NORTHWEST WINDS
WILL SET IN JUST PRIOR TO OR SOON AFTER IGNITION TIME. SPEEDS WILL BE
LIGHT THIS MORNING BEFORE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
                    TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
                    MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (900-45400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-5200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     68     72     77     79     76
RH..............87     76     65     56     52     58
20 FT WIND......NW 3   NW 5   NW 6   NW 8   NW 8   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (900-29500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (900-27500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2
                    TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN
REQUESTED BY...USFWS LITCHFIELD WMD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100720.SCHOF.01/MPX