FNUS72 KTAE 201809
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR SUMMER ED PLOT...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
209 PM EDT TUE JUL 20 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1340 EDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835

.DISCUSSION...STACKED HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER GENERALLY
QUIET THROUGH WEDNESDAY. JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM...HOWEVER STORM COVERAGE WILL BE LOWER THAN WOULD
NORMALLY BE EXPECTED FOR LATE JULY. THE MOIST AIRMASS COMBINED WITH
THE SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE WATER WILL KEEP DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE
TO UPPER 70S AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES HIGH. HEAT INDICES WILL
BE ALSO BE HIGH WITH LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON READINGS BETWEEN
100 AND 105 DEGREES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM. MOST OF THE STORMS
                    WILL OCCUR FURTHER INLAND FROM THE BURN SITE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 TO 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 6 MPH DURING THE EARLY EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSION....45 TO 50.

TIME (EDT)      2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............91     90     88     84     82     80
RH..............65     67     70     78     82     85
20 FT WIND......SE 8   S 7    S 5    SW 5   S 3    SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     9      6      6      6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR WITH JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
                    SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING EAST OR SOUTHEAST AROUND 5  MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 700 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....3.

.WEDNESDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO BETWEEN 3500 AND 4000 FT AGL
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSION....AROUND 50.

$$
FORECASTER...MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...BART RYE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100720.SUMME.01/TAE