FNUS73 KAPX 211406 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE BEES UNIT 10...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1006 AM EDT WED JUL 21 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 21. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH TEMPERATURES QUICKLY WARMING INTO THE UPPER 70S BY IGNITION TIME. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE COMPARABLE TO YESTERDAY. THE WINDS WILL BE PERSISTENT FROM THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. WHILE SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTINESS WILL DEVELOP...PEAK GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BETWEEN 15 AND 20 MPH. THIS IS A HIGH CONFIDENCE FORECAST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 83. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH THIS MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1500) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (2300). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........36 36 49 49 49 45 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............77 78 79 80 80 79 RH..............60 58 52 49 47 49 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..7 9 10 10 10 9 20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 18 19 20 20 HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 4 SMOKE DISP......150020002300230023002000 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....59. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH MAXIMUM GUSTS TO 16 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........MIN 3. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN EXCELLENT(800). TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........45 45 19 19 19 19 19 19 24 24 24 24 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............79 78 77 73 69 66 64 63 62 61 61 61 RH..............49 48 50 62 76 87 93 93 93 97 97 97 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW W W NW NW NW NW NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......190016001200800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 800 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....79. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(800). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........24 36 36 36 45 45 WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............61 62 68 73 76 77 RH..............97 97 78 66 60 60 20 FT WIND......W 2 W 3 W 3 W 4 SW 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 15 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......800 800 800 800 800 800 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF HALBLAUB REQUESTED BY...ALYEA JOE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100721.BLUEB.01/APX