FNUS75 KBOU 210837 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR DAVIDSON SAR...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 227 AM MDT WED JUL 21 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST AND UNSTABLE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TODAY. ONE AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA NOW IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...AND MORE CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS AND HIGHEST COVERAGE CAN BE ANTICIPATED BETWEEN 11 AM AND 5 PM TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY MILD FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WESTERLY WINDS SHOULD ALSO PREVAIL IN ELEVATIONS ABOVE 10 THOUSAND FEET...WHILE UPSLOPE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN LOWER ELEVATIONS TODAY. THURSDAY WILL FEATURE A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS BUT STILL A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75 AT 8500 FEET...AND NEAR 53 AT 13000 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........47-57% WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12-22 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 AT 8500 FEET...AND NEAR 48 AT 13000 FEET. MAX HUMIDITY........70-80%. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 14-24 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH ABOVE 12000 FEET. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 AT 8500 FEET...AND NEAR 57 AT 13000 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........45%. WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. EXPERIMENTAL FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR DAVIDSON SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE DIGITAL DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY NOT AGREE WITH INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS TABLE SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AN OFFICIAL FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 07/21-02 70 37 49 68 SW 15 2 208 SW 13 2268 P 07/21-03 70 37 49 68 SW 15 23 4 2 SW25 182 SW 13 2041 P 07/21-04 70 37 49 66 SW 14 2 180 SW 13 1921 P 07/21-05 70 37 49 63 SW 14 2 178 SW 12 1800 P 07/21-06 60 37 49 60 SW 13 20 4 2 SW35 176 SW 12 1680 P 07/21-07 60 37 50 60 SW 13 2 205 SW 10 1913 P 07/21-08 60 37 50 61 W 13 2 235 W 10 2146 P 07/21-09 60 37 51 62 W 13 20 3 2 SW43 264 W 10 2379 P 07/21-10 60 37 52 61 W 14 2 1490 W 13 22689 P 07/21-11 60 37 54 59 W 14 2 2716 SW 16 42998 F 07/21-12 74 67 55 58 W 15 23 3 5 SW45 3942 SW 18 63308 G 07/21-13 74 67 55 57 W 16 5 3820 SW 22 71496 G 07/21-14 74 67 56 57 W 16 5 3697 W 25 79685 G 07/21-15 74 67 56 57 W 17 26 3 5 W32 3574 W 29 87874 G 07/21-16 74 67 56 58 W 20 5 3064 W 26 72564 G 07/21-17 74 67 55 59 W 21 5 2554 W 25 57253 F 07/21-18 74 50 55 60 W 22 33 4 4 W26 2044 W 24 41942 F 07/21-19 74 50 54 62 W 21 4 1707 W 21 32712 P 07/21-20 74 50 53 64 W 20 4 1371 W 18 23481 P 07/21-21 74 30 52 67 W 17 26 3 4 W26 1034 W 16 14251 P 07/21-22 74 30 52 68 W 15 4 888 W 15 11673 P 07/21-23 74 30 51 69 W 14 4 742 W 14 9095 P 07/22-00 56 10 51 70 W 13 20 3 1 W29 596 W 13 6517 P 07/22-01 56 10 51 70 W 13 1 549 W 13 6130 P 07/22-02 56 10 50 69 W 13 1 502 W 14 5743 P 07/22-03 56 10 50 69 W 13 20 3 1 W30 454 W 14 5356 P 07/22-04 56 10 50 68 W 13 1 428 W 14 5117 P 07/22-05 56 10 50 67 W 13 1 402 W 14 4877 P 07/22-06 58 10 50 65 W 14 21 3 2 W30 375 W 14 4638 P 07/22-07 58 10 49 64 W 15 2 590 W 16 8659 P 07/22-08 58 10 51 58 W 17 2 780 W 17 12493 P 07/22-09 58 10 53 54 W 18 28 4 2 W30 1019 W 18 16702 P 07/22-10 58 10 54 50 W 21 2 1379 W 20 23297 P 07/22-11 58 10 55 48 W 22 2 1739 W 20 29892 P 07/22-12 78 40 55 46 W 23 35 4 4 W24 2099 W 20 36487 P 07/22-13 78 40 56 46 W 23 4 3087 W 18 48441 F 07/22-14 78 40 56 45 W 21 4 4074 W 17 60396 G 07/22-15 78 40 56 45 W 20 30 3 4 W25 5061 W 16 72350 G 07/22-16 78 40 56 45 W 18 4 4310 W 16 61360 G 07/22-17 78 40 56 46 W 17 4 3559 W 16 50371 F 07/22-18 70 20 56 47 W 16 24 3 3 W20 2809 W 16 39381 P 07/22-19 70 20 55 47 W 15 3 2132 W 15 29120 P 07/22-20 70 20 53 49 W 13 3 1455 W 14 18858 P 07/22-21 70 20 51 50 W 12 17 4 3 W21 779 W 13 8597 P 07/22-22 70 20 50 51 W 9 3 640 W 12 6687 P 07/22-23 70 20 49 51 W 8 3 502 W 10 4777 P 07/23-00 80 1 49 51 W 7 7 4 1 W20 363 W 9 2867 P 07/23-01 80 1 48 50 W 7 1 323 W 9 2469 P 07/23-02 80 1 47 49 W 7 1 284 W 8 2071 P 07/23-03 80 1 47 49 W 7 7 4 1 W17 244 W 8 1672 P 07/23-04 80 1 46 49 W 8 1 245 W 8 1769 P 07/23-05 80 1 46 50 W 9 1 246 W 9 1865 P 07/23-06 80 0 46 51 W 9 14 3 1 W20 247 W 9 1962 P 07/23-07 80 0 47 53 W 9 1 495 W 9 3743 P 07/23-08 80 0 49 52 W 8 1 742 W 9 5524 P 07/23-09 80 0 51 51 SW 7 7 3 1 W21 990 W 8 7305 P 07/23-10 80 0 53 50 SW 7 1 2355 W 9 21270 P 07/23-11 80 0 55 49 SW 7 1 3720 W 10 35235 P 07/23-12 75 20 55 48 SW 7 7 4 3 W20 5086 W 12 49201 F 07/23-13 75 20 56 48 SW 6 3 5808 W 12 60374 G 07/23-14 75 20 57 48 W 6 3 6530 W 13 71547 G 07/23-15 75 20 57 48 W 5 5 4 3 W 9 7252 W 13 82719 G 07/23-16 75 20 57 48 W 3 3 6258 W 13 67871 G 07/23-17 75 20 57 49 NW 2 3 5264 W 12 53023 F 07/23-18 64 20 56 49 NW 2 2 4 3 W12 4269 W 10 38174 P 07/23-19 64 20 55 50 N 2 3 2931 NW 9 25859 P 07/23-20 64 20 54 51 N 3 3 1592 NW 7 13543 P 07/23-21 64 20 52 52 N 5 5 4 3 W 7 254 N 6 1227 P 07/23-22 64 20 51 52 NE 6 3 237 N 6 1225 P 07/23-23 64 20 51 52 NE 7 3 221 NE 7 1224 P 07/24-00 46 5 50 52 NE 8 8 4 1 W15 204 NE 7 1222 P 07/24-01 46 5 49 54 E 8 1 263 NE 7 1558 P 07/24-02 46 5 48 56 E 9 1 322 E 7 1895 P 07/24-03 46 5 48 59 E 9 14 3 1 NW20 381 E 7 2231 P 07/24-04 46 5 48 61 E 9 1 545 E 7 3710 P 07/24-05 46 5 47 62 SE 10 1 709 E 8 5189 P 07/24-06 21 5 48 62 SE 10 16 4 1 NW22 873 E 9 6669 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...NATE KNIGHT REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20100721.DAVID.01/BOU