FNUS75 KGJT 211708
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COWQ RIDGE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1108 AM MDT WED JUL 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1031 MDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE PLUME WILL REMAIN OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF THE NEXT SMALL DISTURBANCE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE FROM
THE STRONGER STORMS. A BIT DRIER AIR WORKS IN ON THURSDAY FOR LESS
COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1230...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    BECOMING NUMEROUS AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH  OVER RIDGE TOPS. UPSLOPE 3-6 MPH
                    IN CANYONS. ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1230...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80%) UNTIL 2300...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000 DECREASING TO POOR BY 2400.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2300...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT BY 2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH10 MPH BECOMING DOWNVALLEY AFTER 2400.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1300...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-6 MPH BY 1300. SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH
                    OVER RIDGE TOPS.GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR BECOMING VERY GOOD
                    GOOD (115900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...TRACY FIFAREK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100721.COWQR.01/GJT