FNUS75 KGJT 220210
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOW CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
810 PM MDT WED JUL 21 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1922 MDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHWEST FLOW OF MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY.  EXPECT SHOWERS ACTIVITY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING WITH THE POTENTIAL OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOISTURE WILL DECREASE
ON FRIDAY WITH A DECREASING THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................5 THEN 4 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 8 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH
                    SHIFTING TO UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY BY 1100.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................BECOMING 4 BY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FEET INCREASING TO 10800 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH
                    SHIFTING TO UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY BY 1100. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................BECOMING 2 BY 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12200 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE MEYERS
REQUESTED BY...AMY HAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100721.MEADO.01/GJT