FNUS74 KLIX 211502 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...NOAA-OCS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1002 AM CDT WED JUL 21 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 1000 CDT...1022MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE WRN ATLANTIC WITH THE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION INTO THE TEXAS. ONE TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...ROUGHLY ALONG LONGITUDE 95W. A SECOND...MORE VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...IS NEAR HISPANIOLA. PRESSURE AT SPILL SITE 1019. .NEAR SHORE HEAT INDEX INFORMATION... AT 1000 CDT... GALLIANO /GAO/...100F HOUMA /HUM/...103F GULFPORT /GPT/...103F SLIDELL /ASD/... 99F BOOTHVILLE /BVE/...102F WEST DELTA /DLP/... 97F .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 15Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...ENE 14KT 250FT...ENE 16KT 500FT...ENE 17KT 1KFT...E 18KT 2KFT...E 19KT 3KFT...E 20KT 4KFT...SE 22KT 5KFT...SE 24KT MAX WIND...131/24KT 5.1 KFT. STORM MOTION...134/14KT 21/06Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/22/10 SFC...E 9KT 250FT...E 10KT 500FT...E 11KT 1KFT...E 11KT 2KFT...E 12KT 3KFT...SE 15KT 4KFT...SE 18KT 5KFT...SE 20KT MAX WIND...115/21KT 6.0 KFT. STORM MOTION...138/10KT .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 211451Z AUTO 09008KT 9SM FEW024 32/25 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP202 T03170250 51013 TSNO METAR KGAO 211440Z AUTO 08007KT 7SM SCT026 SCT031 SCT044 31/25 A3012 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S AND SW METAR KHSA 211451Z 14003KT 10SM SCT020 BKN030 30/26 A3012 METAR KIPN 211455Z AUTO 10014KT 10SM CLR A3010 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 211455Z AUTO 11010G16KT 070V150 9SM CLR 32/26 A3008 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 211455Z AUTO 10016KT 7SM FEW020 FEW027 30/26 A3012 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 211455Z AUTO 10014KT 6SM HZ CLR 30/25 A3011 RMK A01 AVIATION... OVER LAND...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT040...SCT 3SM -TSRA WITH TOPS 400. OVER WATER...VFR P6SM SCT030 SCT035...SCT 3SM -TS WITH TOPS 350. KHUM 211122Z 2112/2212 VRB03KT 5SM BR SCT025 FM211300 09010KT P6SM SCT025 FM211700 09010KT P6SM VCTS SCT030CB FM220100 12005KT P6SM SCT040 SCT120 FM220900 VRB03KT 5SM BR SKC KHSA 211122Z 2112/2212 VRB03KT P6SM SCT025 FM211400 11007KT P6SM SCT030 FM211700 12010KT P6SM VCTS SCT040CB FM220100 VRB03KT P6SM SCT040 SCT120= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR THU...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT TO SE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR FRI...VFR SCT030. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA. LGT E TO NE WIND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...VFR SCT025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT NE TO E WIND. .RADAR... AT 1000 CDT...ISOLD SHRA/TSRA CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS GENERALLY TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE SPILL SITE. CELLS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD. CLOSEST CELL IS ABOUT 40 MI SE OF SPILL SITE...PRODUCING OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 1.87 FT AT 0936 CDT FALLING...LOW TIDE 0.25 FT AT 1700 CDT. WYCM6 2.69 FT AT 0936 CDT STEADY...HIGH TIDE 0.63 FT AT 2100 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 87.0F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........39 39 42 42 42 42 40 40 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............87 88 89 89 89 89 89 88 RH..............77 71 66 64 64 64 65 66 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 99 99 99 99 99 99 98 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..11 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.24 24 24 22 22 22 21 21 TRANS SPD (M/S).11 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO RO RO RO RO .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........40 36 36 36 17 17 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............88 87 85 84 83 82 RH..............66 69 73 74 77 79 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 96 93 92 90 89 20 FT WIND......E 13 E 13 E 12 E 11 E 10 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2200 2200 2200 2000 1700 MIX HGT (M).....760 670 670 670 610 520 TRANSPORT WIND..E 21 E 22 E 22 E 22 E 18 E 13 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 9 E 10 E 10 E 10 E 8 E 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10 SEAS............6 5 5 5 5 5 SEA STATE.......RO RO RO RO CH CH .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........17 8 8 8 0 0 WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............82 82 84 88 89 89 RH..............79 79 74 66 64 64 HEAT INDEX (F)..89 89 94 98 99 99 20 FT WIND......E 7 E 6 E 8 E 9 E 9 E 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 15 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1600 1600 1600 1600 1800 MIX HGT (M).....520 490 490 490 490 550 TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 10 E 14 E 14 E 17 E 14 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 6 E 4 E 6 E 6 E 8 E 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 20 20 SEAS............5 5 5 5 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH LC CH CH CH LC $$ FORECASTER...MANNING REQUESTED BY...TIM OSBORN TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100721.DEEPW.06/LIX