FNAK79 PAFG 231315
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
515 AM AKDT FRI JUL 23 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2225 AKDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING WILL PERSIST OVER THE
EASTERN INTERIOR TODAY. THE FIRE LIES BETWEEN AREAS
OF SHOWERS NEAR THE CANADA BORDER AND EXTENSIVE AREAS
OF RAIN AND SHOWERS TO THE WEST CAUSED BY A COLD
UPPER LOW PRESSURE CENTER MOVING SOUTHWARD OUT
OF THE ARCTIC. SOME ISOLATED CONVECTIVE SHOWERS MAY
DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
BUT THE AIR MASS APPEARS TO BE TOO STABLE FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS. WEAK SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE EXTENDS OVER THE NORTHEAST INTERIOR AND THE
EASTERN BROOKS RANGE.

HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHEAST INTERIOR
SATURDAY...BUT A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY
OCCUR OVER THE FIRE AREA AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES CYCLONIC...
PROVIDING SOME WEAK LIFT...ACCOMPANIED BY A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN INSTABILITY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL RISING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-8 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BY 2300.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    TO SOUTHWEST 4-6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOW 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. HIGHS NEAR 70.
LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. HIGHS NEAR 70.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FISCHER
REQUESTED BY...AMBER SUNDERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100722.501PA.01/AFG