FNUS73 KAPX 221343 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUEBEES UNIT 10...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 943 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0945 EDT ON JULY 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH-LEVEL OVERCAST WILL DOMINATE TODAY. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME STEADY FROM THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SPEEDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT. IF THE BURN IS NOT FINISHED BY LATE AFTERNOON...THE LAKE BREEZE FROM LAKE HURON MAY SHIFT WINDS TO EASTERLY EARLY THIS EVENING (BETWEEN 6 AND 9 PM). OTHERWISE...NO UNEXPECTED CONDITIONS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE HIGH. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT 930 AM...INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (600). TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........95 95 97 100 100 100 97 97 94 WEATHER COV..... CHC WEATHER TYPE.... R TEMP............67 70 73 75 77 77 77 78 78 RH..............76 73 71 64 62 58 56 56 58 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW S SW S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 4 6 6 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......100 200 300 300 300 300 400 600 600 $$ FORECASTER...JEFF HALBLAUB REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100722.BLUEB.01/APX