FNUS75 KGJT 230237
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COW RIDGE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
837 PM MDT THU JUL 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1938 MDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING. AMPLE
MOISTURE WILL MEAN GREAT RH RECOVERIES. WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL
BRING A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR MASS TO THE FIRE AREA. FRIDAY...EXPECT
AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM WHICH
COULD PRODUCE ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH BECOMING TERRAIN
                    DRIVEN 3 TO 7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-800 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHWEST 4 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.


.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO TERRAIN
                    DRIVEN 3 TO 7 TO 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD DECREASING TO POOR
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-800 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.



$$
FORECASTER...AS
REQUESTED BY...JOSH REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100722.COWRI.01/GJT