FNUS72 KMLB 221200
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 4 1...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
800 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AXIS OF THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS ACROSS
NORTH FLORIDA...WHICH IS PRODUCING LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING.
THE SEA BREEZE WILL PUSH INLAND LATE IN THE MORNING WITH EAST WINDS
GRADUALLY BACKING EAST-NORTHEAST INCREASING DURING THE AFTERNOON TO
10-15 MPH. THERE WILL BE A LITTLE MORE SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS
OVERNIGHT AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVES TOWARDS SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS WILL
KEEP DISPERSION VALUES ABOVE NORMAL AND LVORI WILL BE LOWER THAN THIS
MORNING.

**EARLY MORNING SURFACE WINDS NEAR BURN SITE ARE SHOWING LIGHT
EAST-NORTHEAST. WHILE SOME WINDS WAVERING TO EAST-SOUTHEAST...REMAINING
LIGHT...ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...DO EXPECT WINDS TO BE MAINLY EAST
TO EAST-NORTHEAST FOR THE BURN TIME. CAPE WIND PROFILERS EARLY THIS
MORNING ARE SHOWING LIGHT EAST-SOUTHEAST JUST OFF THE SURFACE.**

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EAST WINDS BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST
                    8 TO 13  MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON TO AROUND 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2100 FT AGL EARLY MORNING INCREASING TO 3300-4300
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING & EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....51.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............87  88  88  89  89  89  88  87  86  84  83  82
RH..............70  66  63  61  61  60  61  64  67  72  74  77
20 FT WIND DIR..E   ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   10  12  13  13  13  12  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10      15  15  15  15  15      10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4100 FT AGL EARLY EVENING DECREASING TO
                    1200-1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING & OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11.
LVORI...............4.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY BY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL NOON...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 26 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....77.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VERNACHIO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100722.UNIT4.01/MLB