FNUS72 KMFL 231207 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR C-34 RX BURN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 807 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. SPOT FORECAST FOR C-34 RX BURN...FISH & WILDLIFE COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 806 AM EDT FRI JUL 23 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH STEADILY NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY...WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND FLOOD WATCH CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE REGION AROUND THE PRESCRIBED BURN SITE IN NORTHERN COLLIER COUNTY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY...WITH RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SLIGHTLY BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. VERY STRONG NORTHEASTERLY TRANSPORT LAYER WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH WINDS LIKELY SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST BY SATURDAY. THE STRONG WINDS ON BOTH DAYS WILL LEAD TO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST. THE POTENTIAL FOR NOCTURNAL FOG DEVELOPMENT IS LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........83 AT IGNITION...MAX 88. MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 65 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WINDY. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WINDY. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 0800...THEN 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 36 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 89. LVORI...............3. LAL.................4 UNTIL 0800...THEN 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO EAST AROUND 36 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........95 95 95 95 95 95 WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............83 85 87 88 87 85 RH..............77 72 67 66 69 72 20 FT WIND......NE 11 NE 11 NE 14 E 15 E 15 E 23 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 30 35 35 50 EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 11 NE 11 NE 14 E 15 E 15 E 23 EYE LEVEL WIND..25 25 30 35 35 50 MIX HGT (FT)....2000 2000 3200 4500 4500 3200 MIXNG WIND......NE 18 NE 18 NE 20 NE 23 NE 23 E 36 DISPERSION IDX..36 36 49 67 67 89 LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 3 CHC OF PCPN (%).90 90 90 90 90 90 LAL.............5 5 5 5 5 5 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....92. MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 21 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...DIXON REQUESTED BY...PAUL RYAN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED $$ REQUESTED BY...PAUL RYAN REASON FOR REQUEST...ESSENTIAL TO PUBLIC SAFETY, E.G. DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF POPULATION CENTERS OR CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE.