FNUS72 KILM 252152
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDWICK FIRE...SC FORESTRY COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
552 PM EDT SUN JUL 25 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1735 EDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE VERY GOOD THROUGH 900 PM TONIGHT.
INVERSION DEVELOPMENT WILL LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS...NEAR OR BELOW 1000
FEET. TRANSPORT AND SURFACE WINDS HOWEVER ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODERATE
OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING SMOKE DISPERSION TO REMAIN FAIR TO GOOD THROUGHOUT
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SMOKE DISPERSION AFTER 900 AM MONDAY BECOMES GOOD.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH THROUGH AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          5 PM
SKY (%).............32
WEATHER COV.........NONE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE
TEMP................97
                    MIN HUMIDITY........45
WIND (20 FT)........SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....16
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 6
EYE LVL WND GST.....15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL
                    BY MID EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............22     24     25     27     22     22
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................94     89     86     84     82     82
                    MIN HUMIDITY........56     68     74     77     79     81
WIND (20 FT)........S 8    S 8    SW 8   SW 7   SW 7   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     10
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....S 6    S 6    SW 6   SW 5   SW 5   SW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.....15     15     15     15     15     10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS BY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-6700 FT
                    AGL BY MID MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 7
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............43     46     49     53     56     60
WEATHER COV.........                     ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP................80     81     88     93     93     91
                    MIN HUMIDITY........85     86     65     57     57     61
WIND (20 FT)........SW 6   W 6    W 4    W 4    SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     5      10     10
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....SW 4   W 4    W 3    W 3    SW 4   SW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.....10     10     10     5      10     10

$$

FORECASTER...COLBY
REQUESTED BY...DARRYL JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100725.HARDW.01/ILM