FNUS74 KLIX 251239 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR DEEPWATER HORIZON...BP ICP- HOUMA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 739 AM CDT SUN JUL 25 2010 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .SYNOPSIS... AT 0700 CDT...BASED OFF OF RADAR...REMNANTS OF BONNIE WAS MOVING N ACROSS LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PRES AT SOURCE LOCATION...1015MB. .WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY SUMMARY... ...SPC DAY1 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. ...SPC DAY2 OUTLOOK...GENRL NON-SVR TSTMS. .SOUNDING INFO/WIND PROFILE... 12Z RUC13 SOUNDING AT SPOT LOCATION SFC...S 14KT 250FT...S 13KT 500FT...S 13KT 1KFT...S 13KT 2KFT...S 16KT 3KFT...S 17KT 4KFT...S 16KT 5KFT...S 15KT MAX WIND...130/22KT 35.1 KFT. STORM MOTION...182/10KT 21/06Z GFS MODEL SNDG AT SPOT LOCATION VALID 18Z 7/22/10 SFC...SE 13KT 250FT...SE 13KT 500FT...SE 14KT 1KFT...SE 11KT 2KFT...SE 11KT 3KFT...SE 121KT 4KFT...SE 13KT 5KFT...ESE 14KT MAX WIND...115/25KT 46.9 KFT. STORM MOTION...152/10KT .NEARBY GULF ASOS/AWOS OBSERVATIONS... ...KBVE - BOOTHVILLE-VENICE LA ASOS ...KGAO - GALLIANO LA AWOS ...KHSA - STENNIS INTL AP - BAY ST LOUIS MS ...KIPN - INDEPENDENCE 28.1N 87.9W ...KMYT - INNOVATOR 28.2N 89.6W ...KSPR - SHIP SHOAL 28.6N 91.2W ...KMDJ - MS CANYON 28.7N 89.8W ...KDLP - WEST DELTA 29.1N 89.6W METAR KBVE 251151Z AUTO 21009KT 10SM -RA FEW017 SCT028 BKN046 29/26 A3000 RMK AO2 RAB30 SLP157 P0000 60000 70080 T02890261 51014 TSNO METAR KGAO 251220Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN027 BKN035 BKN050 26/25 A2998 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT N AND NE METAR KHSA 251155Z 16007KT 7SM SCT018 BKN050 27/27 A2995 METAR KIPN 251215Z AUTO 15009KT 10SM FEW019 A3002 RMK A01 METAR KMYT 171225Z AUTO 17011KT 10SM 29/24 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KSPR 251215Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM OVC080 29/26 A2999 RMK A01 METAR KMDJ 251215Z AUTO 22009KT 7SM SCT050 BKN065 BKN080 31/27 A3000 RMK A01 METAR KDLP 251215Z AUTO 21010KT 9SM CLR 30/26 A2998 RMK A01 AVIATION... OVER LAND...VFR P6SM SCT035. OVER WATER...VFR P6SM FEW035. KHUM 251234Z 2513/2612 VRB05KT P6SM BKN035 TEMPO 2513/2516 BKN015 FM251600 08008KT P6SM BKN035 FM251900 16010KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 2519/2522 5SM SHRA OVC035CB FM260200 15005KT P6SM BKN250 KHSA 251137Z 2512/2612 04010KT P6SM OVC035CB TEMPO 2512/2514 3SM SHRA OVC015CB FM251400 08008KT P6SM BKN030 TEMPO 2514/2517 5SM -SHRA OVC015CB FM251700 15010KT P6SM BKN100 TEMPO 2519/2522 5SM SHRA OVC035CB FM260200 15005KT P6SM BKN250= AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SAT...MVFR OVC015. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR SUN...MVFR OVC015. SCT SHRA/TSRA. MDT-STG E WND. AREAL OUTLOOK FOR MON...MVFR BKN025. SCT SHRA/TSRA. LGT SE WND. .RADAR... AT 0700 CDT...ISLD SHWRS WERE OVER TIMBALIER ISLAND TO BARATARIA BAY AND BRETON SOUND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. NO PRECIPITATION OR LIGHTNING DETECTED WAS DETECTED NEAR THE SPILL SITE. .TIDAL INFORMATION... PSTL1 2.32 FT AT 0650 CDT NR HIGH TIDE...LOW TIDE 0.68 FT AT 2000 CDT. WYCM6 3.07 FT AT 0650 CDT RISING...HIGH TIDE 3.70 FT AT 1200 CDT. BUOY 42040 WATER TEMP: 85.8F. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........78 78 78 78 78 81 81 81 81 81 81 WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............83 84 86 87 88 88 88 88 87 87 87 RH..............82 80 77 72 70 68 68 70 70 70 70 HEAT INDEX (F)..91 93 96 98 99 100 100 99 98 98 98 20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..12 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.9 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5 MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 15 15 TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 SEAS............5 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH CH .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........81 77 77 77 78 78 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............87 85 84 83 82 81 RH..............70 75 77 80 82 85 HEAT INDEX (F)..98 94 93 91 89 87 20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 2000 1700 1700 1800 1900 MIX HGT (M).....760 610 520 520 550 580 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 14 SE 15 SE 15 SE 15 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 7 SE 6 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 30 30 SEAS............3 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......CH CH CH CH CH LC .MONDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........78 75 75 75 73 73 WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............81 82 86 88 88 86 RH..............82 79 70 66 66 68 HEAT INDEX (F)..87 89 95 98 98 94 20 FT WIND......SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2000 2300 2300 2400 2300 MIX HGT (M).....580 610 700 700 730 700 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 9 SE 12 SE 12 E 14 SE 12 TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 5 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 E 6 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 40 40 40 40 SEAS............4 4 4 4 4 4 SEA STATE.......LC LC LC LC LC LC .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH. .WEDNESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .THURSDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ZEIGLER REQUESTED BY...ICP TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT .TAG 20100725.DEEPW.01/LIX