FNUS74 KEWX 261349
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAIRD WEST...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
849 AM CDT MON JUL 26 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON JULY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOES NOT PROVIDE AUTHORIZATION
FOR PRESCRIBED BURNS. REFER TO LOCAL GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS OR THE TEXAS
FOREST SERVICE FOR INFORMATION ON BURN RESTRICTIONS.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ENABLE AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
TODAY...WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING OF WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL ENHANCE NORTHEAST WINDS...BUT
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY BELOW 10 MPH. ONCE THUNDERSTORMS
BEGIN TO FORM...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 30 MPH WITH VARIABLE DIRECTIONS. THE CHANCE OF RAIN SHOULD DECREASE
BY LATE IN THE EVENING...WITH A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING DURING THE DAYTIME TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-6100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   1 PM    2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........50     50     70      70     70
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM  TSTORM
TEMP............80     86     88      90     89
RH..............58     48     45      42     43
20 FT WIND......120/2  090/3  070/4   070/5  080/6
EYE LEVEL WIND..120/1  090/2  070/2   070/3  080/4
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4       4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 0100...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2800-2900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........70     70     70     70     80     80
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............87     83     79     78     76     75
RH..............48     55     66     76     81     86
20 FT WIND......E 10   S 3    S 3    S 3    S 3    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 8    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 1    S 1
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     5      5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...18
REQUESTED BY...CARL SCHWOPE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100726.BAIRD.02/EWX