FNUS75 KRIW 262040 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR COAL FIRE...USFS BTF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 240 PM MDT MON JUL 26 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1400 MDT ON JULY 26. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL WRAP INTO WESTERN WYOMING TODAY WITH ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FREQUENT LIGHTNING...BRIEF GUSTY WIND TO 50 MPH AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT PERSISTS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY INCREASING IN COVERAGE. THE THREATS WILL INCLUDE THE SAME AS FOR TODAY ALSO INCLUDING SOME SMALL HAIL. CONVECTION WILL LIKELY PERSIST DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND MORNING HOURS AS WELL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM AGAIN TODAY...THO WILL SLOWLY COOL THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE WARMING BACK ON THURSDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...LIPSON .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE OF THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79 TO 82. MIN HUMIDITY........16 TO 18 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY 1600 THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH. LAL.................2. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (157200 KNOT-FT). .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-60. MAX HUMIDITY........34-36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH FROM THE EAST BY 2000. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. LAL.................2. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 17 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (85400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (5200 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78. MIN HUMIDITY........22-24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH MAINLY FROM THE SOUTH BECOMING WEST 11 TO 13 MPH BY 1100 WITH A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS BECOMING WEST NORTHWEST AT THE SAME SPEEDS BY 1600. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2. CWR.................12 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-8100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17 TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (63000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (138400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...LIPSON REQUESTED BY...DWAYNE GIBBONS REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20100726.COALF.01/RIW