FNUS75 KGJT 272020
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR VAIL EOC...NW IMT 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
220 PM MDT TUE JUL 27 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1440 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER HIGH HAS SHIFTED EAST AND MONSOONAL MOISTURE
IS MOVING OVER WESTERN COLORADO. THE EVENT SITE IS ON THE NORTHERN
EDGE OF THE DEEPER MOISTURE. STILL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. WATCH FOR STORMS BUILDING FROM THE SOUTH
OR SOUTHWEST. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL FALL WITH THE STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR 50
MPH.

.THIS AFTERNOON...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 2-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MAX OF 38700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......400.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....STORM DRIVEN 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (MIN OF 5000 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......100-.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9400-18600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (66400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......100 INCREASING TO 650.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRITA HORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100727.VAILE.02/GJT