FNUS75 KGJT 282055
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOW CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
255 PM MDT WED JUL 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1430 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT TONIGHT AND AGAIN
THURSDAY NOON UNTIL 9 PM...

.DISCUSSION...MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS VERY DEEP TODAY AND WILL
REMAIN SO THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HEAVY SHOWERS HAVE OCCUR ED TO THE
NORTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE TODAY...WITH NOTHING
THREATENING THE BURN SITE AS OF 230 PM MDT. STORM MOTION WILL BE VERY
SLOW FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...SMALL HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN FAIR TO POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47%.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN LAL OF 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD UNTIL 2200...THEN FAIR TO POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200-34900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN LAL OF 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...AMY HAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100728.MEADO.01/GJT