FNUS72 KJAX 281604 CCA
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-219 SHERRILLS MILL...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1204 PM EDT WED JUL 28 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1155 EDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A NORTHERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL ALONG WITH HOT TEMPERATURES.
SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTH AT 5 TO 10
MPH PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....53.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      12 PM  1 PM   2 PM   3 PM   4 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........25     45     45     61     70     65
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............92     94     94     92     92     91
RH..............59     51     51     56     59     60
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 5   N 6    NE 7   NE 7   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   5900   5900   5900   5900   5800
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8   NW 8   NW 8   NW 8   NW 9   NW 9
DISPERSION INDX.38     53     53     56     55     50
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     40     50     50     50
LAL.............2      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...
                    THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1700 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........61     59     59     36     31     31
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............90     86     83     81     80     79
RH..............59     66     75     81     87     90
20 FT WIND......NE 6   E 3    E 1    SE 1   S 1    SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5                    5
MIX HGT (FT)....5900   1700   1700   1000   200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8   N 6    N 6    NE 2   SE 1   SE 1
LVORI...........5      6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     30     30     30     20     20
LAL.............3      3      3      3      2      2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 8
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....19.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100728.C219S.01/JAX