FNUS72 KMLB 291011
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 2 2A...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
611 AM EDT THU JUL 29 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 29. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CALM TO LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND
5 MPH FROM THE NORTHWEST MID MORNING AS SHALLOW INVERSIONS BURN
OFF AND THE ATMOSPHERE STARTS TO MIX WINDS DOWN TO THE SURFACE.
EXPECT THAT THE LOCAL SEA BREEZES AT AROUND 5 MPH WILL START MID
TO LATE MORNING WITH VARIABLE WIND DIRECTIONS DUE TO THE COMPLEXITY
OF THE LAND MASS AROUND THE BURN SITE. THE MUCH STRONGER EAST
COAST SEA BREEZE WILL FORM BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST
AT 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
LIGHTNING STORMS AROUND I 95 AND WEST AS THE SEA BREEZE PUSHES
INLAND AND AWAY FROM THE BURN AREA.

SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND NORTHERN FLORIDA
WILL SHIFT THE WINDS BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER SUNSET. WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP TRANSPORT AND 20 FOOT
WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST IN THE 8 TO 12 MPH RANGE AND MAX LVORI
AROUND 6.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....48.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............78  79  80  83  86  88  89  90  90  90  90  90
RH..............94  91  91  82  75  70  66  64  64  64  64  64
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   SW  S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.                                    10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....7.
LVORI...............6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....47.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100728.22A__.01/MLB