FNUS73 KAPX 301144 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR CHERRY CREEK SLASH...STATE OF MICHIGAN NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 744 AM EDT FRI JUL 30 2010 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE TO REMAIN ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN MICHIGAN TODAY...BRINGING WITH IT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS AT THE BURN SITE...WITH POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON LAKE HURON BREEZE FORCING WINDS MORE EASTERLY. DEWPOINTS TO REMAIN STEADY-STATE IN THE LOW TO MID 50S...WITH RESULTANT RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 40 PERCENT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM. GOOD RH RECOVERY EXPECTED THIS EVENING UNDER LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS. COULD SEE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT...BUT MORE LIKELY ON SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 80. MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6200-8100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (900). TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........49 49 52 52 52 52 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............74 76 78 79 80 79 RH..............44 43 40 39 38 41 20 FT WIND DIR..E S SW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 4 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISP......500 600 700 800 900 800 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....55. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........52 52 52 52 52 52 52 52 71 71 71 71 WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW TEMP............78 76 74 70 66 62 60 59 59 58 57 56 RH..............42 45 48 55 63 72 81 83 83 86 93 100 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SE E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 6 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ FORECASTER...MIKE BOGUTH REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20100730.CHERR.01/APX