FNUS72 KMLB 302229
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 2 2A...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
629 PM EDT FRI JUL 30 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1810 EDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY HAS MOVED PAST THE
PRESCRIBED BURN SITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SLOWLY
INLAND EARLY THIS EVENING. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS
WILL IGNITE ALONG THIS FEATURE INTO MID EVENING BEFORE DISSIPATING
FOR THE NIGHT. LIGHT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 20 FOOT WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
VEER TO SOUTHWEST-WEST LATER THIS EVENING BECOMING LIGHT LATE OVERNIGHT.
GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS AND OUTFLOW FROM THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE RAPIDLY
SHIFTING WINDS NEAR THE PROPOSED BURN SITE THIS EVENING AND AGAIN ON
SATURDAY. FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN STORMS.
WHILE 20 FOOT/TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AGAIN ON SATURDAY...CONFIDENCE
IN TIMING OF DIRECTION CHANGES REMAINS ON THE LOW SIDE. A MID-LATE DAY
DEVELOPING EAST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED AGAIN. DISPERSION
WILL BE IN THE POOR-FAIR CATEGORY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH VERY EARLY THIS
                    EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST LATE THIS EVENING
                    & OVERNIGHT...AND DECREASING TO 2 TO 4 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0200 (10PM)...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL LATE THIS
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............89  87  85  84  83  82  81  80  80  79  79  79
RH..............70  77  80  82  85  88  91  91  94  94  97  97
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10                              5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST/EAST-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 4 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....27.

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100730.22A__.01/MLB