FNUS75 KMSO 302035
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ESTELLE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
235 PM MDT FRI JUL 30 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1415 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A UNSTABLE SOUTHWEST FLOW HAS BEEN OVER THE AREA TODAY...WITH
A DISTURBANCE SLOWLY MOVING ACROSS EASTERN WASHINGTON AND THE NORTHERN
SECTION OF IDAHO. THIS DISTURBANCE HAS PRODUCED SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BUT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW MOST PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN TO THE SOUTH
OF THE FIRE. SATURDAY WILL BE ANOTHER STORY...A LOW MOVES INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WITH VERY GOOD LIFT AND MOISTURE. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TO DEVELOP EARLY WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF STRONG...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS SHOULD PRODUCE GOOD WETTING RAINS...BUT STRONG ERRATIC
GUSTY WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5-6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-7 MPH...WITH STRONG ERRATIC GUSTS
                    NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...KOLATA
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SMITH - IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100730.ESTEL.01/MSO