FNAK79 PAFG 010147
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...BLM-AFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
547 PM AKDT SAT JUL 31 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1735 AKDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS BUILDING ACROSS NORTHERN
ALASKA AND WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE WEATHER AT THE FIRE THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK.  DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
WITH WELL ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES.  MAINLY LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH SOME INCREASE IN THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS...ESPECIALLY MONDAY AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES
BY WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE FIRE. THE LONGER NIGHTS AND DRY AIR MASS
WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES EACH NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........MAINLY SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    THIS EVENING. VARIABLE TO OCCASIONALLY NORTHEAST
                    WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL LOWERING TO 400-800 FT AGL WITH A MODERATE
                    LOW LEVEL INVERSION DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING WEST TO SOUTHWEST
                    6 TO 8 MPH BY NOON. GUSTS TO 15 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY SUNNY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY SUNNY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOGEL
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100731.501PA.01/AFG