FNAK79 PAFG 021524
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR 501 PAT CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
724 AM AKDT MON AUG 2 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2121 AKDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WIND...

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPPING SOUTH FROM THE HIGH
ARCTIC WILL COLLIDE WITH A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE INTERIOR. THE
COLLISION OF THESE TWO SYSTEMS WILL CREATE WIND GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH
IN THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE LOW WILL QUICKLY EXIT
THE AREA OVERNIGHT SO TOMORROW WILL BRING SOME RELIEF FROM THE
WINDS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN TODAY...THEY WILL REMAIN
IN THE 80S AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHEN IT APPEARS THAT THE RIDGE
WILL BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN. WHEN THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN THERE WILL BE
AN INCREASED CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH GUSTING TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 16 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. LOW 52. HIGH 84. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 53. HIGH 81.
LIGHT WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 55. HIGH 75.
WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON POE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20100801.501PA.01/AFG