FNUS75 KBOI 012131
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR CINDER BUTTE RX...SHOSHONE BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
331 PM MDT SUN AUG 1 2010

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...DRY SOUTHWEST WIND ALOFT FOR QUIET WEATHER...

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OFF THE OREGON COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WILL LEAVE THE CINDER BUTTE FIRE IN A DRY
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE...WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT
FROM THE WEST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES APPROACHING
THE CENTURY MARK. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FLIRT WITH THE SINGLE DIGITS.
THIS DRYNESS AND INSTABILITY ALOFT WILL COMBINE FOR HAINES INDICES
CLOSE TO 5...WHICH SUGGESTS MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....94 TO 98.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 TO 15 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 GOOD.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 TO 50 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....NORTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...80 POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 100.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 TO 12 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1650 EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DECKER
REQUESTED BY...MIKE AOI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20100801.CINDE.01/BOI